Santa Mónica vs Espanya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Mónica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
SAM
15%
19%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
MUR
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 2
SAM
37%
23%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
SAM
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 1
ALG
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Espanya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALG
31%
24%
45%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SVE
2 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
SPO
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
XIL
2 - 0
ESP
31%
22%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATL
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |