UD Morón vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 0
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
VEN
13%
20%
68%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUE
43%
24%
34%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
4 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
MAI
19%
22%
59%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARH
5 - 0
PUE
49%
23%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDD
3 - 1
ARH
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ARH
1 - 1
MAI
26%
24%
50%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 1
ARH
32%
25%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARH
2 - 4
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |