Santa Maria vs Taguatinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
GAM
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 4
CAP
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
CEI
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Taguatinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
TAG
0 - 0
CEI
50%
23%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 0
TAG
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
TAG
1 - 1
SED
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 2
TAG
12%
18%
71%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
TAG
3 - 2
LUZ
66%
20%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |