Santa Maria vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
CEI
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SED
1 - 2
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CEI
3 - 0
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 4
BRA
6%
13%
81%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 0
GAM
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAP
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 1
TAG
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAP
69%
17%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 2
CEI
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |