Santa Lucía vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SLU
3 - 2
GHA
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LUQ
0 - 3
SLU
13%
21%
67%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SLU
4 - 0
MGA
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLU
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SLU
1 - 1
GUD
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
BIR
2 - 0
SAI
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HIB
1 - 0
BIR
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
BIR
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BIR
3 - 1
TAR
65%
21%
13%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
LIJ
0 - 2
BIR
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |