Santa Fe vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
SFE
14%
25%
61%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
AME
1 - 2
SFE
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 0
SFE
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SFE
3 - 1
ENV
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
PAS
0 - 1
SFE
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 0
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
AGU
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
4 - 3
MIL
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MIL
3 - 1
HUI
74%
17%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BUC
3 - 4
MIL
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |