Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 3
SFE
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
0 - 2
JUN
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
3 - 0
TOL
38%
29%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
SFE
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 2
SFE
17%
30%
54%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAT
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
ONC
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
3 - 0
TOL
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 2
LEO
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |