Santa Cruz RN vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
GLO
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 3
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 0
SAN
35%
24%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
ARN
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
4 - 0
FEL
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 3
POT
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 3
GLO
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
FEL
0 - 0
ACD
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ABC
5 - 0
FEL
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |