Santa Cruz vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
AFO
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAU
63%
19%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
ASA
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
PPE
35%
27%
37%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |