Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-2
Santa Cruz vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAN
75%
18%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
ABC
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
CRB
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAN
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 0
LUV
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
LUV
0 - 0
FLU
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLA
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |