Santa Cruz vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
35.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATL
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
CRB
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 1
BOT
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
BAH
2 - 0
PAY
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
CRI
2 - 1
BAH
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
PAY
3 - 0
BAH
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
OES
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |