Santa Cruz vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
IMP
0 - 1
SAN
21%
28%
51%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
ABC
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 3
SAM
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CON
3 - 0
BOT
27%
28%
44%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
NAU
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
IMP
0 - 0
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
ABC
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 2
CON
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |