Santa Cruz vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2022 |
SDJ
1 - 0
SAN
39%
30%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASA
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
LAG
0 - 0
SAN
18%
27%
55%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
JAC
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
LAG
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 0
ALA
18%
23%
58%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
JAC
0 - 2
ALA
37%
26%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
JAC
39%
26%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |