CA San Miguel vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 1
SMG
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SMG
0 - 0
CAD
26%
30%
44%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 2
SMG
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SMG
0 - 0
UAI
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
DOC
1 - 2
SMG
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
FEN
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 1
MER
48%
28%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
AND
30%
29%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
COM
3 - 2
MER
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
CAÑ
30%
28%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |