Primera Nacional Last 16
Global 2-3
San Martín Tucumán vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 2
TIG
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
QUI
0 - 0
SMA
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 0
AGR
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 2
SMA
19%
28%
54%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 1
TEM
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 3
FER
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
RSA
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
FER
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
HHE
3 - 1
FER
15%
24%
60%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
FER
6 - 0
STM
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |