San Martín San Juan vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 1
SMA
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 0
MOR
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
CAG
4 - 0
SMA
24%
29%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 1
PAT
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 0
SMA
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 1
GOD
46%
26%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 1
VEL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
ARS
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 1
VEL
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |