San Martín Formosa vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
3º
2º
28
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 34 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 28 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 20 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 17 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 16 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 14 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 12 |
9º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
SMA
28%
29%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
SAR
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
JAN
1 - 0
SMA
27%
29%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
CDN
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 0
SMA
31%
29%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAR
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JAN
1 - 1
CEN
19%
29%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 1
CDN
65%
23%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
CEN
24%
29%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
UNI
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |