San Lorenzo vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SLO
0 - 1
CAU
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SLO
0 - 1
ALB
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
SLO
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
SLO
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 0
BAN
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DAL
1 - 1
MID
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LAF
2 - 2
DAL
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DAL
4 - 0
ESP
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UAI
0 - 0
DAL
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
DAL
3 - 0
ALE
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |