San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1997 |
NOB
2 - 2
SLO
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
SLO
2 - 2
PLA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1997 |
BOC
2 - 1
SLO
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1997 |
SLO
3 - 2
CAU
70%
18%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1997 |
GYT
1 - 1
SLO
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1997 |
VEL
0 - 1
ARG
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
VEL
5 - 0
NOB
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
FLA
0 - 1
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1997 |
PLA
0 - 3
VEL
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1997 |
VEL
0 - 0
BOC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |