San Lorenzo vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
ARG
1 - 1
SLO
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 4
DYJ
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
GLP
1 - 0
SLO
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 0
SLO
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
SLO
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 2
RAC
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
TIG
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 2
RIV
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 1
PAT
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 0
RIV
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |