San Diego 1904 vs Michigan Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Diego 1904
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SAD
3 - 2
BOB
9%
15%
76%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
DET
1 - 0
SAD
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
BOB
1 - 2
SAD
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Michigan Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MSF
3 - 4
CUS
35%
23%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
MSF
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MSF
1 - 3
BOB
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MSF
1 - 2
LAF
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
MSF
64%
18%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |