San Carlos vs Sporting FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
11º
6º
26
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
CSH
2 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAP
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 3
CSH
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 3
PFC
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -2 |