Sampdoria vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAM
13%
20%
67%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
ACD
73%
17%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
USA
0 - 1
SAM
10%
18%
73%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
PRO
86%
11%
4%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
5 - 1
RAP
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
ADS
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
SAS
4 - 0
FCS
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
FCS
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |