Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
+1
6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.6%
72.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
20.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
28.2%
0-2
18.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
22.8%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 4
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
BOA
3 - 2
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
MAD
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAM
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 4
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
6 - 0
AUR
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 2
BOT
6%
20%
74%
|
89 | 44 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOT
16%
25%
59%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |