Maranhense Final
Global 2-0
Sampaio Correa vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
BOT
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAM
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CSA
0 - 0
SAM
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 0
SAM
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
FLU
18%
25%
56%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 2
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
AGU
64%
23%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 1
MAR
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOT
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
RIV
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |