Sampaio Correa vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAM
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
CRI
50%
27%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAM
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
CRZ
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
SPO
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRE
13%
25%
62%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
GRE
15%
26%
59%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |