Saku Sporting vs FC Flora Tallin III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
44%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saku Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
HLA
1 - 2
SSP
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SSP
2 - 5
NOU
49%
21%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 2
SSP
43%
20%
38%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SSP
5 - 4
TAZ
33%
20%
47%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HII
2 - 2
SSP
37%
21%
42%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 4
FLO
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 1
HLA
37%
22%
40%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NOU
9 - 4
FLO
40%
21%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 1
VAN
71%
15%
14%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TAZ
3 - 1
FLO
42%
21%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |