St. Louis II vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
STL
0 - 3
LEV
6%
13%
82%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
STL
53%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
STL
2 - 1
TAC
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
STL
2 - 0
NOT
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
STL
1 - 1
SPK
68%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
STL
2 - 1
TAC
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 2
HOU
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 2
POR
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 1
TAC
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
TAC
19%
24%
58%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |