Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 0
DET
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SAC
4 - 0
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
USA
0 - 0
SAC
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SAC
5 - 4
CRR
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAC
5 - 0
LOU
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Oakland Roots
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 0
ORS
33%
25%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ORS
1 - 2
HAA
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
IND
0 - 3
ORS
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ORS
3 - 1
EFS
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ORS
1 - 0
NMU
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |