Sabah vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
9º
3º
57
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sabah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKQ
2 - 0
SFK
32%
27%
42%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
SFK
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 0
SEB
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 2
SFK
27%
26%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SFK
3 - 2
QAR
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 1
SUM
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SUM
1 - 0
QAR
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 4
SUM
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 0
ZIR
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |