Sūduva vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
9º
8º
15
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 77 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 67 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 57 |
3º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 47 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 46 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 43 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 42 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 38 |
10º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
22% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 3
SUD
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 0
FAS
22%
26%
51%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 0
FKJ
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 0
FSM
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 0
BFC
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
DAI
71%
20%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 0
PAN
13%
24%
63%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
FKT
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 4
PAN
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |