Rotherham United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 0
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
ROT
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 0
ROT
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 0
AFC
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
ROT
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SWI
26%
25%
50%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 1
WIG
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
AFC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWI
19%
26%
56%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 0
SWI
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |