Scottish Premiership Promotion Final
Global 6-1
Ross County FC vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ross County FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
ROS
58%
21%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 2
ABE
23%
25%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 1
ROS
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 5
MHE
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 1
HIB
22%
24%
55%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
ROS
58%
21%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
PAR
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
RAI
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
RAI
5 - 0
ARB
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 0
RAI
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |