Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 0-1
Rosenborg BK vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
STR
0 - 1
RBK
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
RBK
3 - 1
NSI
81%
14%
6%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
RBK
2 - 0
LOV
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
NSI
0 - 3
RBK
14%
20%
67%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
VIF
1 - 2
RBK
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
SHA
0 - 1
QAR
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
QAR
0 - 1
TUR
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
SIM
1 - 0
QAR
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
QAR
2 - 1
FKB
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
KHA
1 - 2
QAR
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |