Coppa Italia Final
Global 2-4
Roma vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
4 - 4
ROM
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAM
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
PAL
3 - 3
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 0
PAL
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ROM
3 - 1
LEC
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 0
INT
16%
25%
60%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
INT
4 - 0
REG
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
58%
23%
20%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
UDI
2 - 2
INT
25%
28%
47%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ASC
1 - 2
INT
14%
24%
62%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |