Roma vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
ROM
0 - 2
TOR
47%
29%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
ACM
3 - 0
ROM
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
ROM
2 - 0
BRE
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
ROM
0 - 0
BOL
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1967 |
MAN
0 - 0
ROM
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1968 |
INT
1 - 0
PIS
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
INT
0 - 2
CAG
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
NAP
2 - 1
INT
33%
26%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
JUV
3 - 2
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
INT
2 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |