Coppa Italia Final
Global 2-1
Roma vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1984 |
VER
1 - 1
ROM
37%
28%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1984 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOR
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1984 |
TOR
1 - 3
ROM
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
ACM
1 - 2
ROM
41%
28%
32%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1984 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
73%
17%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1984 |
VER
1 - 1
ROM
37%
28%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1984 |
VER
3 - 1
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1984 |
BAR
1 - 2
VER
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
VER
1 - 0
UDI
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1984 |
UDI
2 - 1
VER
54%
22%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |