Europa League Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 3-2
Roma vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 2
ROM
28%
26%
47%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 2
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 1
EMP
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
FEY
22%
24%
55%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FEY
2 - 1
BVO
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 1
FEY
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FEY
2 - 1
ADO
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
FEY
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |