Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
ATL
4 - 1
ROM
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ROM
2 - 3
JUV
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
ROM
2 - 2
VIC
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
BOL
3 - 2
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
BOL
4 - 3
UDI
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
VIC
2 - 1
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
BOL
4 - 2
SAM
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
GEN
5 - 2
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |