Roma vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
ROM
4 - 1
CHA
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 3
INT
67%
19%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
ROM
23%
21%
55%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
CEL
4 - 1
ROM
24%
23%
53%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 1
ROM
37%
23%
40%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATM
26%
26%
48%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 5
ATM
14%
24%
62%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 2
ATM
9%
22%
69%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LEG
0 - 1
ATM
12%
23%
65%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
GET
0 - 0
ATM
13%
24%
63%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |