Roma Sub 17 vs Perugia Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.5%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.3%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.4%
1.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
3º
1º
28
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
ROM
4%
9%
87%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
3 - 2
REG
89%
7%
4%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
ROM
4%
9%
87%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 3
ROM
6%
12%
83%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
LCC
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
REG
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 2
PER
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
PER
56%
21%
24%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 4
LAZ
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |