Ríver vs Ypiranga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
62.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
4DE
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
RIV
89%
9%
2%
|
47 | 90 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
BAH
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 86 | 40 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
ALT
33%
25%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
RIV
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 0
YPI
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
YPI
0 - 0
GRE
13%
21%
66%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ECA
2 - 0
YPI
11%
21%
69%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
YPI
1 - 1
ECS
48%
23%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 0
YPI
64%
21%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |