River Plate Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
DAN
1 - 3
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 0
AGP
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CER
0 - 0
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 2
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
68%
19%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 2
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 1
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
CEL
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |