Club River Plate vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
LQE
1 - 2
RPA
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 0
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
RPA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RPA
0 - 1
OLI
8%
17%
75%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
RPA
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 1
GEN
74%
18%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
AME
1 - 4
LIB
28%
25%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
NAC
69%
20%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |