Club River Plate vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RPA
1 - 1
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 0
RPA
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
RPA
0 - 1
2DE
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SPT
3 - 1
RPA
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
RPA
1 - 2
LQE
34%
29%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
12O
1 - 3
LIB
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
12O
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
12O
1 - 2
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
12O
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
CCP
2 - 1
12O
59%
24%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |