River RR vs Náutico RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
65.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+421%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
REC
3 - 0
RIO
32%
21%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ARO
2 - 4
REC
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
REC
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GAS
3 - 2
REC
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
REC
76%
15%
9%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 7
NAU
26%
19%
54%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
REA
35%
21%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
GAS
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
MRF
68%
17%
16%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 1
NAU
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |