Rio Preto vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
50.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VOT
1 - 0
RIO
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
SAO
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
RIO
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 2
SER
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
DES
0 - 1
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 3
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 5
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |