Rio Negro RR vs Náutico RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
62.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Negro RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 4
RIO
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
REC
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
3 - 0
RIO
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 4
REA
16%
17%
66%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ARO
6 - 0
RIO
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
REC
1 - 5
NAU
8%
12%
80%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NAU
4 - 4
REA
38%
21%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NAU
5 - 3
PRO
22%
19%
59%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 0
NAU
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAU
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |