Rio Claro vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 1
RIO
43%
24%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
RIO
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
UNI
42%
25%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIO
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 0
AUD
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
50%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |