Rio Branco SP vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
PAU
4 - 3
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
AMP
0 - 1
RIO
35%
26%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 1
RIO
12%
17%
71%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
RIO
36%
24%
39%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
COL
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAU
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 1
UNI
15%
17%
68%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
AMP
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
RIO
36%
24%
39%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |